Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 241.975674 272.576183 306.482849 347.003685 394.325381 448.099695 514.196289
2025-05-11 191.644459 230.666905 277.633314 338.952481 417.825847 517.151265 653.767327
2025-05-18 164.058969 205.828435 258.810237 332.092196 432.668470 568.664061 771.446520
2025-05-25 150.483598 195.503036 255.211974 342.035946 468.244837 650.282124 942.977975
2025-06-01 136.531129 182.387487 245.429588 340.932968 486.570943 708.504996 1089.659172
2025-06-08 123.718928 169.140805 233.489096 334.417129 494.812083 751.311194 1218.664820
2025-06-15 114.946543 160.569804 227.047459 334.808455 512.998399 811.720522 1389.143232
2025-06-22 105.572461 150.139880 216.624386 327.440856 517.019628 848.141982 1522.646870
2025-06-29 98.939473 143.176765 210.702151 326.389813 531.133750 903.911961 1705.501774
2025-07-06 90.504572 132.730655 198.337121 313.164918 521.878698 914.658650 1797.109274
2025-07-13 88.193110 131.652122 200.786225 325.316843 560.024379 1022.317373 2126.908273
2025-07-20 86.214634 130.899962 203.617559 338.315999 601.413766 1143.792385 2523.968462
2025-07-27 81.969231 126.236108 199.663818 338.948635 619.486241 1221.285405 2841.083290
2025-08-03 76.596161 119.328893 191.324040 330.580071 618.283718 1256.395158 3058.314177
2025-08-10 72.029300 113.461041 184.317674 323.984581 619.796956 1297.889367 3307.294477
2025-08-17 70.288613 112.309940 185.583695 333.622939 657.617537 1433.787633 3890.193970
2025-08-24 67.166827 108.520717 181.733527 332.553935 671.363535 1512.422642 4322.483075
2025-08-31 63.599923 103.712406 175.633416 326.234165 672.117313 1557.324950 4658.182483
2025-09-07 61.175722 100.801627 172.873077 326.613742 688.756810 1648.860713 5204.845484
2025-09-14 58.010707 96.354424 166.867762 319.466941 686.111064 1685.663666 5557.702550
2025-09-21 55.797098 93.530964 163.808042 318.447306 698.654103 1769.761560 6147.833705
2025-09-28 52.397628 88.321376 155.744057 305.615619 679.349627 1753.844795 6296.614114
2025-10-05 51.915353 88.561194 158.492351 317.406375 726.158980 1955.452172 7564.433360